[Risk factors for adverse outcomes in elderly patients with asthma and severe COVID-19 at the hospital and early post-hospital stages].

BACKGROUND: Mortality and COVID-19 related factors are thoroughly analyzed. Given the large number of hospitalized patients, the potential short- and long-term COVID-19 related complications, further research is needed on the possible consequences of hospitalization, especially in higher-risk patients, after prolonged hospitalization and intensive care admission. AIM: To study the clinical course and outcomes of severe COVID-19 in elderly patients with asthma at the hospital and early post-hospital stages. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study included 131 elderly patients (WHO, 2020) >60 years old, n=131 with asthma, hospitalized for severe COVID-19. Of these, 86 (65.6%) patients survived, 30 (22.9%) died in the hospital, and 15 (14.9%) patients died after discharge from the hospital (in the 90-day post-hospital period). COVID-19 was confirmed by laboratory tests (SARS-CoV-2 PCR RNA test) and/or clinically and radiologically. All patients had a documented history of asthma. Patients were followed up during the hospital stay and for 90 days after discharge. RESULTS: Comparison of outcomes showed that in the groups of patients with a fatal outcome (regardless of the stage), the Charlson comorbidity index, respiratory rate, extent of lung damage assessed by computed tomography, the absolute leukocyte and neutrophil number and the ratio of neutrophils to lymphocytes were statistically significantly higher. The absolute number of eosinophils was lower in these groups. In the group of patients who died during hospitalization, severe (IV-V) asthma (p=0.03), steroid use during the previous year (p=0.02), chronic heart failure with a reduced ejection fraction (p=0.009) were more common, and atopic asthma phenotype was less common (p=0.02). In those who died after discharge, more common were non-invasive ventilation and diabetes mellitus (p<0.001). The multivariate regression analysis model revealed the most significant predictors of mortality at the hospital and early post-hospital stages. CONCLUSION: Adverse outcomes of severe COVID-19 in elderly patients with asthma include hospital and post-hospital mortality. The most significant predictors of mortality are the comorbidity index and low eosinophil count. Hospital mortality is associated with a higher ratio of neutrophils to lymphocytes and lower total protein levels; early (90-day) post-hospital mortality is associated with extensive lung damage shown by computed tomography and diabetes mellitus.

SARS-CoV-2 PCR-positive and PCR-negative cases of pneumonia admitted to the hospital during the peak of COVID-19 pandemic: analysis of in-hospital and post-hospital mortality.

BACKGROUND: During the spike of COVID-19 pandemic in Kazakhstan (June-2020), multiple SARS-CoV-2 PCR-test negative pneumonia cases with higher mortality were reported by media. We aimed to study the epidemiologic characteristics of hospitalized PCR-test positive and negative patients with analysis of in-hospital and post-hospital mortality. We also compare the respiratory disease characteristics between 2019 and 2020. METHODS: The study population consist of 17,691 (March-July-2020) and 4600 (March-July-2019) hospitalized patients with respiratory diseases (including COVID-19). The incidence rate, case-fatality rate and survival analysis for overall mortality (in-hospital and post-hospital) were assessed. RESULTS: The incidence and mortality rates for respiratory diseases were 4-fold and 11-fold higher in 2020 compared to 2019 (877.5 vs 228.2 and 11.2 vs 1.2 per 100,000 respectively). The PCR-positive cases (compared to PCR-negative) had 2-fold higher risk of overall mortality. We observed 24% higher risk of death in males compared to females and in older patients compared to younger ones. Patients residing in rural areas had 66% higher risk of death compared to city residents and being treated in a provisional hospital was associated with 1.9-fold increased mortality compared to those who were treated in infectious disease hospitals. CONCLUSION: This is the first study from the Central Asia and Eurasia regions, evaluating the mortality of SARS-CoV-2 PCR-positive and PCR-negative respiratory system diseases during the peak of COVID-19 pandemic. We describe a higher mortality rate for PCR-test positive cases compared to PCR-test negative cases, for males compared to females, for elder patients compared to younger ones and for patients living in rural areas compared to city residents.